Michigan (-3.5) at Purdue
An fascinating stat and truth when betting on this matchup, Michigan has owned Purdue. That’s all. The Wolverines are 7-Three SU and 9-1 ATS within the final 10 conferences and when Purdue has been the favourite, Michigan has gone 7-Zero ATS within the earlier seven.
Fairly wild one-sided numbers for Michigan, and most fashions challenge the Wolverines a 60% likelihood or barely higher to win this recreation outright. Michigan bounced again with an 87-63 win over Maryland at residence and on the highway, the one imperfection of the season is an upset loss at Minnesota.
Minnesota is a wonderful workforce at residence, so Michigan’s solely loss must be taken with a grain of salt, for my part. For Purdue, all 4 of their losses have come on the highway or on a impartial flooring. Purdue has misplaced to Clemson (impartial), Miami, FL (highway), Iowa (highway), Illinois (highway) and Rutgers (highway) this season.
All 5 losses are to groups within the prime 100, so we all know Purdue is a legit contender this yr, however away from residence, not a lot. The Boilermakers are 3-Four on the highway and 2-1 in impartial courtroom play. At residence, can they upset Michigan?
Michigan’s Isaiah Livers delivered 20 factors in 29 minutes versus Maryland and has scored double-digits in 5 straight video games. The Wolverines are 33-5 SU when he performs and 5-5 when he doesn’t. He’s suiting up for this one. Large man Frantz Wagner has scored 12 or extra factors in six of the final seven video games and recorded 9 or extra boards in 4 contests throughout that span. Each gamers will likely be crucial items to Michigan incomes the highway win.
Purdue has overwhelmed Maryland, Ohio State and Penn State at residence this season. Spectacular wins however not on the identical stage as Michigan. Purdue received all three video games by single-digits, whereas Michigan trounced Maryland and beat Penn State by 4 within the convention opener for Michigan.
The highway workforce is 3-1-1 ATS within the final 5 on this collection, and Michigan is 5-1 ATS of their final six video games as a highway favourite. Purdue is 8-Zero SU and 4-3-1 ATS at residence this season, and after Michigan simply got here off their first residence loss, I see them serving Purdue their first residence loss.
The Wolverines received two of their three highway video games by 11 factors this season, with an 18-point loss to Minnesota within the different. The road opened at Michigan -2 and now’s -3.5. This could proceed to rise as Michigan is the new play on this collection. I might play this as much as -5.
Sport Decide: Michigan -3.5 (1u)
Ball State at Ohio (-5)
Ohio noticed their earlier recreation versus Northern Illinois canceled on account of COVID considerations inside the Huskies’ program. Ball State is coming off a 10-point loss to Miami (OH) on Tuesday, marking the second straight loss on the highway and third within the earlier 4.
Ohio is 2-2 SU of their final 4 conferences versus Ball State however has received 9 of the earlier 11 video games total. Ohio received 78-68 with out Jason Preston on Jan. 2, behind all 5 starters scoring double-digits. The Bobcats outrebounded the Cardinals 32-26 and shot 55.4% from the sector and held Ball State to 46.4%.
On the season, Preston’s averaging 18.Three factors, 7.7 assists, and 6.Zero rebounds per recreation. He additionally posts a greater help to turnover ratio at residence, 5.Eight in comparison with 3.Three on the highway. Preston has performed 34 or extra minutes in 4 of the final 5 video games and 70 mixed in his previous two since coming back from harm.
Ohio recorded 13 assists versus Ball State with out Preston. Ohio averages 18.1 per recreation on the yr, which is 14th within the nation because of Preston. His 7.7 assists per recreation can be tied for the perfect per recreation common within the nation, however his harm retains him off the statistical leaderboard.
Ball State is 1-Four ATS of their final 5 video games an underdog, whereas Ohio is 9-Three ATS of their earlier 12 residence contests. On a bigger scale, Ball State doesn’t cowl effectively as highway canine, going 3-Eight ATS within the final 11. Relationship again to final season, Ohio is 7-1 ATS of their earlier eight residence video games versus a workforce with a shedding file.
Merely put, Ohio has already beat this workforce with out their greatest participant (Preston). The unfold grew from -Three to -5 in a single day due to Preston and the Bobcats’ earlier 10-point win over the Cardinals two weeks in the past.
Sport Decide: Ohio -5 (1u)
Weekend Preview of High Matchups
Kansas at Oklahoma
Kansas is on a two-game shedding streak headed into Norman, whereas Oklahoma are winners of two straight. Each of the Jayhawks’ final two losses have come on the highway and three-of-four away from residence this season. Oklahoma’s solely residence loss was a two-point recreation to Texas Tech within the convention opener.
Kansas beat Oklahoma 63-59 at residence on Jan. 9, and they’ll go for the season sweep in Oklahoma. Oklahoma has misplaced three straight conferences with Kansas, 5 out of the final six and eight out of the final 10.
It will probably open as a low unfold -1 or -2 in favor of 1 aspect and wager up closely as soon as the general public decides whom they like extra — my guess, Kansas.
Irrespective of the way you cube it up, Kansas shedding three straight is unbelievable to some folks, and a matchup versus an Oklahoma workforce they’ve overwhelmed usually is interesting. Oklahoma has beat TCU by 36, WVU by 4 and Kansas State by 26 this season at residence. Kansas beat WVU by 14 and TCU by 29 this season. Anticipate a detailed match and in the event you plan on betting Kansas — get them early.
Maryland at Minnesota
Minnesota is using excessive with a win over who had been the unbeaten Michigan Wolverines. Maryland was simply trounced by Michigan on the highway and now journey to the identical Minnesota workforce Michigan simply misplaced to. Dangerous information for the Terrapins.
Nevertheless, the excellent news is Maryland has traditionally dealt with Minnesota effectively. Within the 12 whole conferences, Maryland is 10-2 and 5-2 SU over the past seven conferences. In Minnesota, the Gophers are 2-Four all-time and since 2015-16, 1-Three at residence and 2-5 total.
Maryland escaped with a one-point victory of their final outing (2/26/20), and this one could possibly be nearer than anticipated. Most fashions make it a -5 to -7 level unfold in favor of Minnesota, however that could be an excessive amount of on this matchup combined in with Michigan’s outcomes with each.
Baylor at Oklahoma State
When this unfold opens, count on a -7 or -9 sort of unfold in favor of Baylor. Regardless of Oklahoma State proving they’re right here and value consideration come March, Baylor has been the best choose on this collection for a very long time.
The Bears have received 9 out of the final 10 conferences, with the Cowboys’ lone win coming in 2018-19. Baylor has received the final three conferences in Stillwater by 4, seven, and 11 factors. In every win, Baylor exceeded 70 factors scoring 73 or extra.
Baylor’s protection is able to slowing down Oklahoma State’s well-balanced assault behind freshman Cade Cunningham. Most fashions challenge Baylor with a 75% likelihood or greater to win.
Rutgers at Indiana
These two squads have solely met 9 occasions since 2014-15, with Indiana main the collection 6-3. Over the past 4 conferences, Rutgers has been sizzling, successful three of the earlier 4 by seven, eight and 9 factors.
With Rutgers being on the highway, this recreation as a result of just a little tougher to wager if you’re on the Scarlet Knights aspect, however the Hoosiers are weak. Indiana misplaced to Northwestern and Purdue at residence this season however are coming off the biggest win of the yr, an upset over Iowa.
That is an apparent letdown recreation for the Hoosiers, and if the unfold approaches double-digits or -7 and better, Rutgers must be thought-about. I do know Rutgers has misplaced 5 straight video games, however that was the hardest stretch of the season. For Indiana, they take a look forward recreation with Michigan up subsequent. Rutgers stands out as the excellent sandwich opponent to upset Indiana proper now.
Davidson at UMass
If the identify Tre Mitchell from UMass doesn’t ring a bell, then you might be actually lacking out. He has been such a enjoyable participant to observe all season for the Minutemen, and this must be his final yr collegiately with the best way he has produced on the ground.
UMass is 5-Three with three straight wins, and in these three victories, Mitchell has scored 11, 16 and 24 factors whereas posting seven or extra rebounds. On the season, Mitchell’s averaging 20.5 factors and seven.Three rebounds, keen his workforce to a 4-1 convention file.
Davidson is on a three-game successful streak of their very own and is 6-2 all-time versus UMass. The 2 packages have met all eight occasions since 2009-10. Relationship again to 2014-15, Davidson is 5-1 SU. Umass misplaced by 35 within the final assembly and received 54-51 within the earlier.
Mitchell scored 14 factors and grabbed six rebounds within the 35-point loss. This assembly must be a lot nearer, and with UMass being residence, they’re value a tough look earlier than blindly betting on Davidson.