Kansas (-1) at Oklahoma
Kansas is on a two-game dropping streak headed into Norman, whereas Oklahoma are winners of two straight. Each of the Jayhawks’ final two losses have come on the highway and three-of-four away from dwelling this season. Oklahoma’s solely dwelling loss was a two-point sport versus Texas Tech within the convention opener.
Kansas beat Oklahoma 63-59 at dwelling on Jan. 9, and they’re going to go for the season sweep in Oklahoma. Oklahoma has misplaced three straight conferences with Kansas, 5 out of the previous six and eight out of the earlier 10.
It’s onerous to not again Kansas on this spot as they’ve had repeated success towards Oklahoma. The Sooners are 4-18 all-time versus the Jayhawks, and all 4 wins have come at dwelling in Norman, Oklahoma. Oklahoma has by no means gained in Kansas, and the Jayhawks are 1-2 of their final three journeys, 3-Three within the earlier six, and 7-Four all-time in Oklahoma.
In three-of-four wins for Oklahoma, the Over has hit, whereas Kansas tends to maintain the sequence Below after they win. This can be a robust matchup however Kansas is 11-1 ATS of their earlier 12 highway video games vs. a crew with a profitable dwelling report. Oklahoma is 1-6 ATS of their earlier seven video games following a SU win of greater than 20 factors, 2-6 ATS following a SU win, and 0-5 ATS at dwelling versus a crew with a highway profitable report above 60%.
Kansas has misplaced two consecutive convention video games for the primary time since 2013. Invoice Self is conscious of what three straight losses will do to this program, and it’s onerous to think about the Jayhawks going 0-Three on this highway journey. Kansas is ranked in each the highest 20 for offensive and defensive effectivity and if they’re hitting three-pointers at their 35.8% season-clip or higher, I like them to win by single-digits over Oklahoma.
I’m backing the Jayhawks to get out of this funk for a small wager.
Sport Choose: Kansas -1 (0.5u)
Baylor (-9) at Oklahoma State
Baylor has gained 9 out of the final 10 conferences, with the Cowboys’ lone win coming in 2018-19. Baylor has gained the earlier three conferences in Stillwater by 4, seven, and 11 factors. In every win, Baylor exceeded 70 factors scoring 73 or extra.
The Group Whole opened at 76.5 (-122) on this matchup, and with the sport’s Over/Below whole being wager down, I am going to wait to seize Baylor at a greater worth. As of this morning, “sharp” cash is coming in on the Below, and when that occurs, you may wait briefly for a greater Group Whole line.
This sport doesn’t tip till 2:00 PM ET, so round 1:00, this may possible be 74.5 or 75.5. Most fashions undertaking Baylor to attain 78-82 factors versus this Oklahoma State squad. Baylor’s quick begins are key because the Bears have led by at the least 10 factors in each sport this season. Baylor has led by 13 or extra at halftime in nine-of-13 video games this season.
Baylor is 9-1 versus Oklahoma State since 2016 and 14-5 vs. OSU since 2012. Baylor has gained 5 straight in Stillwater. Baylor is the nation’s solely crew to win each sport by 8-plus factors this season and to be ranked inside the highest 5 in offensive and defensive effectivity. Oklahoma State struggles in a couple of classes however hitting three-pointers (32.5%) and free-throws (69.3%) haven’t been profitable for the Cowboys. Baylor defends the three-ball properly (31.7%) and shoot it on the sixth-best fee within the nation making 42.3%.
Backing the Cowboys is a tricky dwelling underdog scenario that I can’t get behind right now. If Baylor’s Group Whole drops to 74.5 at any level, I will be enjoying that right now as I would fairly have 75 than 77.
I’m going to put the Baylor first-half unfold earlier than the sport and reevaluate ay halftime. Baylor led Kansas (13), Texas Tech (8), and Oklahoma (17) at halftime in three of their final 4 video games.
In Baylor’s three highway video games, they led Texas Tech (8), Iowa State (4) however trailed TCU (1) at halftime earlier than outscoring TCU by 19 within the second half. If Oklahoma State covers the first-half, Baylor’s arrange for a superb second-half wager, however I anticipate the Bears to be an excessive amount of for the Cowboys and Cade Cunningham within the first 20 minutes.
Sport Choose: Baylor 1H -4.5 (1u)
SIU Edwardsville at Belmont (-17)
Belmont is 9-Zero in convention play and 6-1 at dwelling this season with revenge on their thoughts versus SIU Edwardsville. Final season these two squads met with Belmont as 23-point favorites, and SIU Edwardsville pulled off the upset of the 12 months, 79-69.
Belmont’s enjoying properly general this season. They’re hitting 60.7% of two-point subject aim makes an attempt (fifth) and personal a 56.6% efficient subject aim proportion (17th). The Bruins’ bench has averaged 31.Three factors per sport in convention play this season, a big purpose why they’re 15-1. Belmont has rattled off 12 straight wins after dropping to Samford on Dec. 5.
SIU Edwardsville is 4-Four with two straight wins over Morehead State (69-65) and Tennessee State (67-65) headed into this matchup. They have been off from Dec. 19 to Jan. 21 because of COVID. SIU’s opponents have been lacking key gamers, and SIU is as properly for this matchup.
SIU’s Sidney Jones has not performed for the reason that layoff, they usually may use the UConn switch versus Belmont. Additionally they have a 6-foot-10 heart, Philip Pepple Jr., however he sat out the final outing together with Jones. That leaves SIU desperately undersized with no participant over 6-foot-7. SIU already permits a hit fee of over 50% on the opponent’s two-point subject aim makes an attempt — a purple flag in the event that they don’t have any top.
It will likely be onerous to watch whether or not or not SIU’s Jones and Pepple Jr. play, but when they’re out, again Belmont as I like the possibilities the Bruins win by 20-plus factors.
Sport Choose: Belmont -17 (1u)
Kent State at Toledo (-4)
These two squads met earlier within the season and Toledo escaped with a two-point win at Kent State. The Golden Flash of Kent State gained three straight on this sequence earlier than Toledo earned the win this season.
In Toledo, the Rockets have gained two of the final three conferences, with Kent State taking the earlier matchup 83-70 in 2019-20. Though Kent State has gained three of the earlier 4 conferences, they actually battle in Savage Enviornment (Toledo). Kent State is 16-51 all-time when enjoying there.
Kent State saved it shut within the first assembly behind Danny Pippen’s 34 factors and 16 rebounds versus Toledo within the first assembly. Pippen averages 20.Four factors per sport on the highway and comes off his worst scoring efficiency of the season with six factors versus Buffalo. Toledo will key in on him and I doubt he exceeds 20 of their second assembly.
Kent State was destroying Buffalo by 21 factors earlier than blowing the lead and profitable on the very finish by three. Behind that sport and their final assembly, I’ve to again the house crew Toledo right here. Toledo is 5-Zero ATS of their final 5 video games and 17-5 ATS of their final 22 general. I grabbed Toledo at -4 — I might play as much as -5.
Sport Choose: Toledo -4 (1u)