Wisconsin (-3.5) at Maryland
This can be a revenge spot for the Wisconsin Badgers after shedding 70-64 at residence to the Maryland Terps on Dec. 28. Wisconsin is 4-2 SU since that loss going 1-1 on the highway shedding to Michigan and beating Rutgers. Maryland is 3-Four SU since its win over Wisconsin, together with upsets over Illinois and Minnesota.
It has been fairly evident that Maryland has loved enjoying the spoiler’s function this season, particularly on the highway. Maryland received three consecutive highway video games towards ranked opponents however are 0-Three at residence in convention play. Maryland has misplaced to Rutgers (74-60), Michigan (84-73) and Iowa (89-67), shedding by 11, 14 and 22 factors. Maryland has two residence wins since Dec. 5, a 13-point win over La Salle and a 42-point victory over Non-DI Wingate.
Wisconsin is 6-Three SU in convention play and is among the Huge Ten premier groups. Maryland is on the opposite finish of the spectrum, going 3-6 SU. The Terps victory over Wisconsin was led by Maryland’s Aaron Wiggins and Eric Ayala. The 2 went off for 32 of the groups 70 factors (45.7%) and certain is not going to repeat that efficiency on Wisconsin once more. Wisconsin has solely had 4 highway video games all season, going 2-2 SU with a two-point loss to rival Marquette and a 23-point loss to Michigan. Wisconsin beat Rutgers and Michigan State within the two highway wins.
The Badgers rank second behind Villanova in turnover-to-assist ratio (1.59) within the nation. Defensively, Maryland shouldn’t be forcing many turnovers holding a 16.3% turnover proportion rating 307th within the nation. That’s going to be some extent of emphasis for the Terps as we speak, however in eight straight video games for the Badgers, they’ve recorded 10 or fewer turnovers. Wisconsin has solely coughed up the ball greater than 10 occasions as soon as this season out of 16 video games, 11 versus Nebraska.
Solely Illinois and Iowa are capturing the three at a better proportion than Wisconsin at 37.9% within the convention, adequate for 32nd within the nation. Wisconsin is defending the two-ball at 44.3%, 31st within the nation, and the three at 32.6% (133rd). The Badgers should sluggish the Terps down offensively as Maryland is a stable all-around offensive squad.
Wisconsin led by 4 at halftime earlier than being outscored 46-36 within the second half. Maryland knocked down clutch photographs in Madison, WI, main 60-59 with 1:58 remaining — the Terps went on a 10-5 run to finish the sport. Maryland has but to play an in depth residence recreation this season, successful by 18-plus in all six wins or shedding by 11 or extra in three losses.
Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS within the final seven highway video games, whereas Maryland is 0-Four AST within the earlier 4 residence video games. The Badgers have additionally received two of the final three conferences general between the applications. I anticipate Wisconsin’s expertise, ball-control and motivation behind the loss earlier within the season to be an excessive amount of for Maryland.
Again the Badgers as much as two possessions on the highway tonight. I grabbed Wisconsin -Three in a single day because the unfold opened at -2.5 earlier than shifting to -3.5 on most books. I’d play this as much as -4.5 for 1 unit if the unfold continues to maneuver.
Recreation Choose: Wisconsin -3 (2u)
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Utah State (-5.5) at UNLV
This can be a bounceback spot for the Utah State Aggies. After a 12-Three begin, Utah State has misplaced two straight, together with a 59-56 loss to UNLV on Monday. That assembly marked Utah State’s first true highway lack of the season after shedding two impartial courtroom video games to open the yr and two at residence.
UNLV enters this second assembly at 6-6 on the season and have two back-to-back conditions beneath their belt. Within the first back-to-back, UNLV misplaced by three in each video games at Colorado State. Within the second set, UNLV beat New Mexico by 23 within the first recreation however solely seven within the second. Colorado State has not misplaced at residence but this season and that features an 84-76 upset over Utah State on Thursday.
Utah State performed a back-to-back set with New Mexico as effectively and drilled them 77-45 and 82-46 in each conferences. The Aggies have performed 5 back-to-back units this season, with this recreation versus UNLV being the sixth. Utah State is 5-1 SU within the first recreation of a back-to-back after the loss to UNLV. Utah State is 4-1 SU within the second recreation after their loss to Colorado State on the highway.
Utah State’s common margin of victory within the first recreation is 26.Three factors and the second 23.2 factors. In three of the final 5 ultimate or second video games of a back-to-back set, Utah State has scored extra factors by a median of 8.Zero per recreation. After a season-low 56 factors versus UNLV, I anticipate Utah State to clear the 60-point mark and get the win and canopy within the second assembly. If Utah State’s Workforce Complete opens across the 62.5 or 63.5 mark, it may very well be value a glance.
One space the place Utah State may steal the present tonight is within the paint. The Aggies rank sixth within the nation, defending the 2 at a 41.5%-clip. UNLV ranks 224th general, hitting 48.6% from two and struggles to defend the three, permitting a conversion fee of 36.5% (279th). Utah State is ranked sixth within the nation with an 89.Zero adjusted defensive effectivity and prime 18 in offensive (18th) and defensive (sixth) rebounding proportion. The protection will result in offense as we speak for the Aggies.
Utah State was an unblemished 5-Zero ATS within the final 5 highway video games till the ATS and outright loss to UNLV. The Aggies are 9-2 ATS of their earlier 11 video games this season. Utah State performed at UNLV a ton over the previous few years. The Aggies received seven of its earlier eight video games contained in the Thomas & Mack Middle, together with Mountain West Event contests and highway video games at UNLV. Again Utah State in a bounce again spot to finish their shedding streak – playable to -6.5.
Recreation Choose: Utah State -5.5 (1u)